Alexander Ageev on the Analytical Report "The Politics of Influence of Global Actors in Central Asia, Eastern Europe, the South Caucasus and the Baltic States"

04/10/2023 19:31

Ageev Alexander Ivanovich, Director of the Institute of Economic Strategies of the Russian Academy of Sciences (INES), General Director of the International Research Institute for Management Problems (IRIPMU), President of the Russian Futures Studies Academy, Deputy Secretary General of the Eurasian Peoples' Assembly spoke on the analytical report “Policy of influence of global actors in Central Asia, Eastern Europe, the South Caucasus and the Baltic countries,” prepared within the project “Humanitarian tools for the political influence of foreign states in the post-Soviet space.”

A new report by Rossotrudnichestvo analysts is devoted to assessing external influence on the states of the post-Soviet space. The report is available for study on the Internet and everyone can get an impression and use it if necessary in work and study. Several of his points, however, are worth paying attention to.

“The technologically new geostrategic rivalry of civilizations has painted the reliefs of long-standing problems in Eastern Europe, the Central Asian region, the Baltics and the South Caucasus with bright red lines; a multi-aspect, multi-level rivalry has unfolded there for leading positions.” The thesis is phenomenally succinct and precise. From the first words, the authors set the coordinate system for the perception of subsequent abundant information.

“The erosion of the US system of global dominance” created conditions for both the activation of a number of regional projects, primarily Turkic and Arab, and the formation of two global projects - the Chinese “One Belt - One Road” and a number of European ones - “Global Europe”, “Horizon Europe” "etc. The supporting states for the EU in this strategy in Central Asia are Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan.

It is not very fruitful to examine external influences in general terms. It is clear that it exists and is probably growing. But the value of the study is that foreign policy interests are detailed by sector. Among them: energy resources, minerals, logistics - transportation, security, integration, harmonization of the regulatory framework, strategies and plans, journalism and media, nation-building, climate, ecology and green energy.

The report considers features of the situation in certain regions. Ordinary observation of the news flow does not create a systematic impression of the scale, diversity and direction of what is happening. And in the whole, it is nothing more than new knowledge. The report provides abundant of food for thought.

Almost all programs are included in the international circuit. First of all, this is a categorization according to the SDGs - the UN Sustainable Development Goals. Almost all programs are coordinated at the level of projects, finances, recipients, themes, extremely concentrated and coordinated among donors.

For each type of influence, the report presents very detailed data. Of interest, for example, are the personal information profiles of political figures in the sense of their manifestation in the political and diplomatic sphere, the characteristics of the types of their activity - personal meetings, summits, mass meetings, distribution of events, volumes of funding, ratio of types of financing (loans, grants, etc.).

Thus, what we have before us is a high-quality information and analytical document that stimulates reflection and, for decision-makers, provides important snapshots of the current and future situation in the post-Soviet space and the global competition emerging here.

Source: https://t.me/Ageevnet